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AI improves diagnosis of Mendelian disorders

Diagnosing rare Mendelian disorders is a labor-intensive task, even for experienced geneticists. Investigators at Baylor College of Medicine are trying to make the process more efficient using artificial intelligence. The team developed a machine learning system called AI-MARRVEL (AIM) to help prioritize potentially causative variants for Mendelian disorders. The study is published today in NEJM AI

Researchers from the Baylor Genetics clinical diagnostic laboratory noted that AIM’s module can contribute to predictions independent of clinical knowledge of the gene of interest, helping to advance the discovery of novel disease mechanisms. “The diagnostic rate for rare genetic disorders is only about 30%, and on average, it is six years from the time of symptom onset to diagnosis. There is an urgent need for new approaches to enhance the speed and accuracy of diagnosis,” said co-corresponding author Dr. Pengfei Liu, associate professor of molecular and human genetics and associate clinical director at Baylor Genetics.

AIM is trained using a public database of known variants and genetic analysis called Model organism Aggregated Resources for Rare Variant ExpLoration (MARRVELpreviously developed by the Baylor team. The MARRVEL database includes more than 3.5 million variants from thousands of diagnosed cases. Researchers provide AIM with patients’ exome sequence data and symptoms, and AIM provides a ranking of the most likely gene candidates causing the rare disease. 

Researchers compared AIM’s results to other algorithms used in recent benchmark papers. They tested the models using three data cohorts with established diagnoses from Baylor Genetics, the National Institutes of Health-funded Undiagnosed Diseases Network (UDN) and the Deciphering Developmental Disorders (DDD) project. AIM consistently ranked diagnosed genes as the No. 1 candidate in twice as many cases than all other benchmark methods using these real-world data sets. 

“We trained AIM to mimic the way humans make decisions, and the machine can do it much faster, more efficiently and at a lower cost. This method has effectively doubled the rate of accurate diagnosis,” said co-corresponding author Dr. Zhandong Liu, associate professor of pediatrics – neurology at Baylor and investigator at the Jan and Dan Duncan Neurological Research Institute (NRI) at Texas Children’s Hospital.

AIM also offers new hope for rare disease cases that have remained unsolved for years. Hundreds of novel disease-causing variants that may be key to solving these cold cases are reported every year; however, determining which cases warrant reanalysis is challenging because of the high volume of cases. The researchers tested AIM’s clinical exome reanalysis on a dataset of UDN and DDD cases and found that it was able to correctly identify 57% of diagnosable cases.